Submitted by Jeff on Fri, 12/01/2006 - 19:23
For a third straight week, PENGUINS will reign supreme at the box office... unless Jesus is as big as some people seem to think he is. I don't know about you but as soon as I saw that movie Thirteen, I was all "This is the filmmaker who can finally tackle the birth of our saviour." And then I got slapped in the face by my BFF and did a line of heroin off a cross.
The more you know.
Predix:
1. Happy Feet - $17.7M
2. Casino Royale - $15.5M
3. Nativity Story - $13M
4. Deja Vu - $10.6M
5. Borat - $6.3M
6. Deck the Halls - $5.2M
7. Turistas - $4.5M
8. Santa Clause 3 - $4.2M
9. Bobby - $3.5M
10. Van Wilder 2 - $2.5M
MOVIE TO SEE THIS WEEKEND:
NOTHING. Take a break. Hollywood doesn't deserve your money this weekend. Nor does Indiewood. If you must, pop in that Netflix movie that's been sitting by your bedside for the last three months. Otherwise, ask someone on a date or go for a walk.
Actual Results:
1. Happy Feet - $17M
2. Casino Royale - $15.1M
3. Deja Vu - $11M
4. Nativity Story - $8M
5. Deck the Halls - $6.6M
6. Santa Clause 3 -$5M
Submitted by Jeff on Thu, 11/23/2006 - 15:08
I'm new to this box office speculation business so I didn't get my shit together by Wednesday, which was when I should have posted for this long Thanksgiving weekend. Excuse me. It will never happen again.
As families look to go to the movies together this weekend, there will be one clear winner and he won't be human. Happy Feet should really succeed in giving the American people some deja vu this weekend, making us think, "Didn't I just see this movie last weekend?" and also, "I liked this better when it was a glorified PBS documentary."
Bond and Denzel will compete for the same auds this weekend, though I suspect Bond will do better with white girls and Mr. Washington will bring in the sisters. Men will be split, not by race, but by whether or not they saw Bond last weekend and how many times.
Predix:
1. Happy Feet - $37M
2. Deja Vu - $32M
3. Casino Royale - $29M
4. Deck the Halls - $11M
5. Tenacious D - $10M
6. Borat - $9.5M
7. Santa Clause 3 - $8.7M
8. Bobby - $6.5M
9. The Fountain - $4M
10. For Your Consideration - $3.3M
INDIE PIC OF THE WEEK:
The History Boys
Submitted by Jeff on Fri, 11/17/2006 - 13:57
Too many movies open this weekend. And the New York Times liked all of them. Well, almost all of them. Emilio Estevez's Bobby was politely dismissed despite it's askin' for a beatin'.
Bond is back, as is animated Robin Williams who last appeared as a cartoon in Man of the Year.
Keep it up, Borat!
Predix:
1. Casino Royale - $45M
2. Happy Feet - $37M
3. Borat - $17M
4. Santa Clause 3 - $8.7M
5. Flushed Away - $8M
6. Stranger than Fiction - $6.7M
7. Babel - $4.2M
8. Let's Go to Prison - $4M
9. Departed - $3.8M
10. The Queen - $3.4M
MID-SIZE MOVIE OF THE WEEK:
Fast Food Nation
INDIE PIC OF THE WEEK:
The Aura
Scratch that. THERE IS ONLY ONE 007 BUT THERE ARE SOOOOOOO MANY PENGUINS...
Actual Results:
1. Happy Feet - $41.5M
2. Casino Royale - $40.8M
3. Borat - $14.6M
4. Santa Clause 3 - $8.3M
5. Stranger than Fiction - $6.6M
6. Flushed Away - $6.5M
7. Saw III - $2.9M
Submitted by Jeff on Fri, 11/10/2006 - 14:31
Impossible.
Too many movies open or expand this weekend to really know what's going to happen. Borat will certainly be #1 again, now on a shit ton more screens. Stranger than Fiction will do some business off a strong trailer and Ferrell's popularity, but I think will disappoint in the long run. Can A Good Year restore the reputation of middle-brow prestige, recently trashed by All the King's Men (as well as Cinderella Man last year)? Hopefully not. Babel should have little trouble exploding this weekend. And then there's some horror film that looks like it might be the third Grudge movie, as well as another Christian Bale movie.
Shit is crowded.
Predix:
1. Borat - $23mil
2. Stranger than Fiction - $16mil
3. A Good Year - $11mil
4. Santa Clause - $10mil
5. Babel - $9.5mil
6. Flushed Away - $9mil
7. Saw III - $6.8mil
8. Harsh Times - $6mil
9. Departed - $5.5mil
10. The Return - $5.3mil
INDIE PIC OF THE WEEK:
What Is It? - George McFly's undistributed down syndrome vehicle, only playing this weekend at Anthology.
Submitted by Jeff on Fri, 11/03/2006 - 13:05
This weekend, a new movie star, Borat, will go up against an old movie star, Santa Clause. And despite the popular and critical excitement over the former, it is the latter who will triumph. It's not exactly a fair race since Santa Clause 3 is opening on over 3,000 screens while Borat is opening on just 800. Not to mention the fact that one brings gifts and Christmastime cheer, while the other brings sophisticated satire. Come to think of it, this isn't really much of a race at all. Other mediocre films will come in ahead of Borat as well. But they will last a weekend. Borat will live forever.
1. Santa Clause 3 - $22mil
2. Flushed Away - $18mil
3. Saw III - $16mil
4. Borat - $10mil
5. Departed - $7mil
6. Prestige - $6.5mil
7. Flags - $4mil
8. Open Season - $3.7mil
9. Man of Year - $3mil
10. Flicka - $2.8mil
FILM TO SEE INSTEAD OF SEEING BORAT MORE THAN ONCE:
A Film by Almodovar
SHOCKING Actual Results:
1. Borat - $26.3mil
2. Santa Clause 3 - $20mil
3. Flushed Away - $19.1mil
4. Saw III - $15.5mil
Submitted by Jeff on Fri, 10/27/2006 - 15:06
Very little competition in the wide release circuit this weekend. Catch a Fire, a thoughtful and classily-directed film from the underrated genre director Phillip Noyce, will be torn to shreds by the thoughtless and decidedly un-classy Saw III. Prestige, Departed, and Flags should hold pretty strong, even as platforms like Running with Scissors and Babel cut into their biz.
Predix:
1. Saw III - $29mil
2. Prestige - $10mil
3. Departed - $9mil
4. Flags - $7.5mil
5. Open Season - $5.5mil
6. Flicka - $4.5mil
7. Marie Antoinette - $4mil
8. Catch a Fire - $3.5mil
9. Running with Scissors - $3.2mil
10. Grudge 2 - $3mil
Nightmare 3D could sneak in that last spot.
Platform Predix:
Babel is going to do monstrously well - say, $300k in 7 theaters.
INDIE PIC OF THE WEEK:
Climates
Actual Results:
1. Saw III - $34mil
2. Departed - $9.8mil
3. Prestige - $9.6mil
4. Flags - $6.3mil
5. Open Season - $6.1mil
6. Flicka - $4.9mil
Submitted by Jeff on Fri, 10/20/2006 - 16:41
This is THE weekend of the year, in my humble opinion. There are three major releases that are all box office contenders, and also contenders for Top Ten Lists. They are as follows:
1. Flicka
2. Flicka
3. Flicka
Predix:
Submitted by Jeff on Fri, 10/13/2006 - 12:48
Can you believe how aggressive those Grudge 2 commercials are? I am continually taken aback by how receptive mainstream audiences are to unpleasantness in the form of horror movies. The very same audiences who groan with physical discomfort when two men kiss on-screen, pop erections as they watch abuse-victims' finger nails get yanked out with pliers. What the hell.
Also, new rule: Robin Williams has run out of professions to cheer up. So stop letting him make new movies.
Predix:
1. Grudge 2 - $26mil
2. Departed - $16mil
3. Man of the Year - $11mil
4. Open Season - $9.5mil
5. Texas Chainsaw - $8mil
6. The Marine - $7mil
7. Employee of the Month - $5.5mil
8. Guardian - $5.3mil
9. Jackass Two - $3mil
10. One Night with the King - $2mil
MOVIE TO SEE INSTEAD OF ALL OF THE ABOVE:
Deliver Us From Evil
A shocking and powerful documentary about Church pedophilia. Seriously, this is the Schindler's List of Church pedophilia movies - go see it.
Actual Results:
1. Grudge 2 - $22mil
Submitted by Jeff on Fri, 10/06/2006 - 11:22
Marty should have his best opening of all time this weekend, due to a lineup of stars that satisfies the testosterone-prone and the hunk-lusty, the young starry-eyed and the Jack-nostalgics, the widespread genre buffs and the Scorsese connoisseurs. Everyone should be seeing The Departed this weekend.
Except for those who have been dying to know how Leatherface made his mask before he killed those kids in 1974. I just know that everyone who sees The Beginning this weekend has been waiting to know for the last 32 years.
Predix:
1. The Departed - $28mil
2. Texas Chainsaw - $16mil
3. Open Season - $14mil
4. Guardian - $10mil
5. Employee of the Month - $8.5mil
6. Jackass Two - $6.5mil
7. School for Scoundrels - $4mil
8. Fearless - $2.5mil
9. Gridiron Gang - $2.3mil
10. Illusionist - $1.8mil
MOVIE TO SEE THIS WEEKEND, ALONG WITH THE DEPARTED:
Little Children
MOVIE TO MAYBE DOWNLOAD:
Shortbus
Submitted by Jeff on Fri, 09/29/2006 - 14:20
Okay so last weekend I was a little off. Most notably, All the King's Men tanked, thus proving Jude Law really isn't a movie star, just like the prophet Chris Rock said.
Or maybe the lesson here is that prestige fare needs to be rolled out platform style, which is what two new movies will begin to do this weekend: The Last King of Scotland and The Queen. Look for The Queen to show up on the Top Ten some time around January when the Oscar noms are released.
In the mean time, this is what we're left with...
Predix:
1. Open Season - $20mil
2. Jackass - $17mil
3. Guardian - $15mil
4. School for Scoundrels - $11mil
5. Fearless - $6.5mil
6. Gridiron Gang - $6mil
7. Flyboys - $3mil
8. Illusionist - $3mil
9. Everyone's Hero - $2.8mil
10. Little Miss Sunshine - $2.5mil
Or maybe All the King's Men will sneak in there with $2.5 or so.
MOVIE TO SEE THIS WEEKEND INSTEAD OF ALL THE ABOVE:
The Queen
Actual Results
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